Itâ€™s clear how the two political parties want to define the debate in next yearâ€™s elections, in North Carolina and nationally. Republicans want to argue about race and culture. Democrats want to argue that government can work and can help people.
The dueling agendas show how far apart the parties are today. They inhabit separate worlds spinning faster and farther away from each other like matter after the Big Bang.
Iâ€™ve got bad news for my fellow Democrats: race-based campaigns have a history of working. And Iâ€™ve got good news: America â€“ and North Carolina â€“ may be different next year.
Weâ€™ll witness the partiesâ€™ debate in North Carolina, with the U.S. Senate race and legislative races. Weâ€™ve had the fight at UNC-Chapel Hill over the history of American slavery. Now the stateâ€™s most powerful Republican, Senate leader Phil Berger, wants a law to prevent public schools from â€œindoctrinatingâ€ students with Critical Race Theory. He also proposed a state constitutional amendment to ban affirmative action.
Berger reflects the national Republican/Fox News agenda, which focuses on racial and â€œculture warâ€ issues. This poses a dilemma for Democrats. Do they engage on Republicansâ€™ turf, at the risk of inflaming emotions, boosting GOP turnout and losing swing voters?
There is another path, similar to the one Joe Biden took to defeat Donald Trump in 2020 â€“ and the path Biden is pursuing as President. Call it the â€œFor the Peopleâ€ path.
Because of the pandemic and its economic damage, Biden has abandoned the governing doctrine of the last three Democratic Presidents: Jimmy Carter, Bill Clinton and, yes, even Barack Obama.
All three were scarred by the Democratic Partyâ€™s â€œtax and spendâ€ reputation from the 1960s. They strove mightily to show they were fiscally responsible and deeply concerned about deficit spending. They made a show of reaching out to Republicans in (usually futile) hopes of finding common ground and governing in a bipartisan spirit.
Biden, the blue-collar kid from Scranton, has followed a more blue-collar strategy. More than any other Democratic President â€“ more even than FDR, who worried about budget deficits â€“ Biden has embraced aggressive government action to rebuild the economy, lift people out of poverty and give every American a better shot at a better life.
He wants to reduce child poverty, make child care and pre-K more available and affordable, make college more affordable, reduce student debt and rebuild the nationâ€™s physical infrastructure. He wants to attack climate change, and he says itâ€™s real. He wants to reduce high healthcare costs, lower sky-high prescription drug prices and make housing more affordable. He wants to focus on helping people who live paycheck to paycheck, instead of cutting taxes for the wealthy and big corporations.
Itâ€™s an audacious agenda. Itâ€™s hard to achieve without Republican votes. But Biden could end the cycle of seeking Republican help. His three Democratic predecessors attacked â€œCongressâ€ for things undone. Biden instead could blame â€œRepublicans.â€
He could say the GOPâ€™s race-culture focus is a â€œfake issueâ€ designed to distract and divide. He could say the Covid-vaccination program and the $1.9 trillion American Rescue Plan prove that government can work. He could even say President Trumpâ€™s â€œWarp Speedâ€ vaccine-development drive proved government works.
There will also be an unpredictable X Factor next year. It will be the first election since Trump refused to admit he lost and since his supporters attacked the Capitol January 6. Democrats might have a potent one-two punch: â€œWe make government work for the people, and Republicans tried to take away the peopleâ€™s democratic government.â€
That strategy could mobilize Democrats, sway Independents and define 2022.